Matchup Machine

William Contreras

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

368th out of 436 (Worst 16%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for W. Contreras

180th out of 567 (Best 33%)

Extreme advantage for Contreras
9

Model Prediction

William Contreras has a 38.0% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 2.6% higher than Contreras's typical expectations, and 4.3% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.0%23.3%3.0%4.4%16.0%14.7%22.5%
Contreras+2.6+1.2+0.3-0.7+1.6+1.4-0.8
Anderson+4.3+1.1+0.1-0.8+1.8+3.2+0.9

Handedness and Release Point

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William Contreras is a bit worse vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Contreras has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. William Contreras has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

13.4% of William Contreras's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.0% -1.9% 3%         Walk +3.5% -1.0% 40%         In Play -1.5% +2.9% 39%         On Base +4.8% -0.1% 31%         Hit +1.3% +0.9% 14%         Single -0.3% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +1.4% -0.2%

History

William Contreras has 6 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 6.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual661001000.167
Expected From Contact →0.920.020.610.290.154
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-19Pop Out100%
2024-06-19Single2%21%78%
2024-06-19Groundout3%97%
2023-04-28Groundout4%96%
2023-04-28Lineout2%59%2%37%
2023-04-28Groundout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.