Matchup Machine

Jesus Sanchez

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matchup for Dean Kremer

242nd out of 436 (Worst 45%)

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Dean Kremer

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matchup for Jesus Sanchez

404th out of 567 (Worst 29%)

Leans in favor of Kremer
1

Model Prediction

Jesus Sanchez has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Dean Kremer, which is 1.5% lower than Sanchez's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Kremer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.1%21.7%3.4%4.4%13.9%8.4%29.0%
Sanchez-1.5-2.0+0.2-1.3-0.9+0.4+1.9
Kremer0.0+1.2+0.6+0.1+0.5-1.2+3.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Jesus Sanchez is much better vs right-handed pitching. Dean Kremer is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Sanchez has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Dean Kremer throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Jesus Sanchez has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
38%
   Cutter (R)
25%
   Curve (R)
12%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Changeup (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

16.3% of Jesus Sanchez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.9% higher than the league average. Dean Kremer strikes out 14.9% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.9% -0.3% 4%         Walk +0.6% +0.8% 41%         In Play -3.5% -0.4% 39%         On Base +3.5% +1.3% 31%         Hit +3.0% +0.6% 14%         Single +0.5% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B +1.0% +0.1% 3%         Home Run +1.5% +0.8%

History

Jesus Sanchez has 3 plate appearances against Dean Kremer in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331001100.333
Expected From Contact →0.310.000.010.310.104
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-14Single31%69%
2023-07-14Field Error
2023-07-14Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.