Matchup Machine

Jesus Sanchez

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matchup for Logan Webb

378th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for Jesus Sanchez

136th out of 567 (Best 25%)

Strong advantage for Sanchez
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Model Prediction

Jesus Sanchez has a 34.3% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 2.7% higher than Sanchez's typical expectations, and 2.2% higher than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.3%27.9%3.2%6.1%18.6%6.5%22.3%
Sanchez+2.7+4.3-0.1+0.5+3.9-1.5-4.8
Webb+2.2+3.1+0.7+0.9+1.5-1.0+0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Jesus Sanchez is much better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Sanchez has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Jesus Sanchez has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

16.3% of Jesus Sanchez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.9% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.9% -0.8% 4%         Walk +0.6% -2.4% 41%         In Play -3.5% +3.2% 39%         On Base +3.5% +1.6% 31%         Hit +3.0% +4.0% 14%         Single +0.5% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.0% +2.8% 3%         Home Run +1.5% -1.3%

History

Jesus Sanchez has 11 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 11 with 2 doubles and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual11114022000.364
Expected From Contact →4.370.900.812.660.397
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-01Groundout6%94%
2024-09-01Single11%89%
2024-09-01Groundout43%57%
2023-04-17Double27%55%19%
2023-04-17Single43%30%27%
2023-04-17Hit By Pitch
2022-06-04Double90%8%2%
2022-06-04Bunt Groundout
2022-04-08Groundout23%77%
2022-04-08GIDP47%52%
2022-04-08Groundout2%52%46%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.