Matchup Machine

Jesus Sanchez

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

337th out of 436 (Worst 23%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for Jesus Sanchez

88th out of 567 (Best 16%)

Extreme advantage for Sanchez
9

Model Prediction

Jesus Sanchez has a 35.0% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 3.3% higher than Sanchez's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.0%25.7%4.3%6.6%14.7%9.3%25.3%
Sanchez+3.3+2.0+1.1+0.9+0.0+1.3-1.9
Flaherty+0.8+2.4+0.7+1.4+0.2-1.6+2.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Jesus Sanchez is much better vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Sanchez has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Jesus Sanchez has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

16.3% of Jesus Sanchez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.9% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.9% +5.8% 4%         Walk +0.6% -1.5% 41%         In Play -3.5% -4.3% 39%         On Base +3.5% -2.0% 31%         Hit +3.0% -0.5% 14%         Single +0.5% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +1.0% -0.3% 3%         Home Run +1.5% -0.2%

History

Jesus Sanchez has 6 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 6 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual662011000.333
Expected From Contact →2.240.291.040.910.373
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-19Groundout1%3%96%
2024-09-19Groundout4%96%
2024-09-19Groundout63%37%
2023-07-06Double96%2%2%
2023-07-06Flyout29%5%65%
2023-07-06Single20%80%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.