Jesus Sanchez has a 35.0% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 3.3% higher than Sanchez's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Flaherty.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 35.0% | 25.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 25.3% |
Sanchez | +3.3 | +2.0 | +1.1 | +0.9 | +0.0 | +1.3 | -1.9 |
Flaherty | +0.8 | +2.4 | +0.7 | +1.4 | +0.2 | -1.6 | +2.4 |
Jesus Sanchez is much better vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Sanchez has a B- grade vs this particular release point.
Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Jesus Sanchez has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers
16.3% of Jesus Sanchez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.9% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Jesus Sanchez has 6 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 6 with a double and
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
Expected From Contact → | 2.24 | 0.29 | 1.04 | 0.91 | 0.373 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-09-19 | Groundout | 1% | 3% | 96% | |
2024-09-19 | Groundout | 4% | 96% | ||
2024-09-19 | Groundout | 63% | 37% | ||
2023-07-06 | Double | 96% | 2% | 2% | |
2023-07-06 | Flyout | 29% | 5% | 65% | |
2023-07-06 | Single | 20% | 80% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.