Matchup Machine

Jesus Sanchez

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matchup for Ranger Suarez

151st out of 436 (Best 35%)

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Ranger Suarez

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matchup for Jesus Sanchez

312th out of 567 (Worst 45%)

Moderate advantage for Sanchez
3

Model Prediction

Jesus Sanchez has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Ranger Suarez, which is 0.9% higher than Sanchez's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Suarez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.6%23.5%2.9%5.4%15.2%9.1%28.1%
Sanchez+0.9-0.1-0.4-0.2+0.5+1.1+1.0
Suarez-1.5-1.3+0.4-0.3-1.4-0.2+3.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Jesus Sanchez is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Ranger Suarez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Sanchez has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ranger Suarez throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Jesus Sanchez has an A- grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
33%
   4-Seam (L)
21%
   Changeup (L)
20%
   Curve (L)
12%
   Cutter (L)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

16.3% of Jesus Sanchez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.9% higher than the league average. Ranger Suarez strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.9% +0.1% 4%         Walk +0.6% -1.2% 41%         In Play -3.5% +1.1% 39%         On Base +3.5% +1.9% 31%         Hit +3.0% +3.1% 14%         Single +0.5% +1.8% 13%         2B / 3B +1.0% +2.2% 3%         Home Run +1.5% -0.9%

History

Jesus Sanchez has 3 plate appearances against Ranger Suarez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331001100.333
Expected From Contact →0.060.000.000.060.020
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-01Strikeout
2023-08-01Single6%94%
2023-08-01Sac Bunt

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.