Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Juan Yepez

matchup for Zack Wheeler

326th out of 436 (Worst 25%)

Zack Wheeler

matchup for Juan Yepez

538th out of 567 (Worst 5%)

Strong advantage for Wheeler

Juan Yepez has a 25.7% chance of reaching base vs Zack Wheeler, which is 5.1% lower than Yepez's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Wheeler.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.7%	17.9%	2.7%	3.9%	11.3%	7.8%	27.3%
Yepez	-5.1	-5.6	+0.2	-1.6	-4.3	+0.5	+7.1
Wheeler	+0.1	+1.4	-0.1	+0.6	+0.9	-1.3	-6.5

Juan Yepez is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Zack Wheeler is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Yepez has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Zack Wheeler throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Juan Yepez has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

42%

Slider (R)

21%

Sinker (R)

19%

Curve (R)

11%

13% of Zack Wheeler's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Juan Yepez has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 3%

-3%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

32% of Zack Wheeler's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Juan Yepez has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 32%

+17%

Fastball (R) 64%

+11%

12.2% of Juan Yepez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.1% lower than the league average. Zack Wheeler strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -4.1% +7.8% 5%

Walk -1.5% -2.6% 37%

In Play +5.6% -5.2% 39%

On Base +1.3% -6.5% 31%

Hit +2.8% -3.8% 14%

Single +1.1% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B +1.2% -1.4% 3%

Home Run +0.5% -1.0%

31.9% of Juan Yepez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. Zack Wheeler induces Standard Grounders at a 41.0% rate, which is 6.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.0% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.5% +6.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.3% -1.3% 14%

Low Screamer +3.1% +2.5% 9%

Rising Liner -1.9% -0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.8% -1.8% 3%

Likely Homer -1.0% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter +1.6% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.3% -4.0% 3%

Pop up +6.1% +0.7%

17.6% of Juan Yepez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.6% lower than the league average. 21.7% of batted balls allowed by Zack Wheeler are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.7% +5.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.7% +1.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.8% -1.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.1% -3.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -6.6% -2.6%

13.3% of Juan Yepez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. 9.8% of batted balls allowed by Zack Wheeler are hit at this angle, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +2.4% +3.8% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.6% -0.3% 8%

1 to 6° -3.0% -0.8% 18%

7 to 18° -0.7% +0.6% 15%

19 to 28° -1.0% -0.4% 11%

29 to 38° +1.9% -1.7% 7%

39 to 50° -1.0% -0.7% 8%

Above 50° +4.1% -0.5%

Juan Yepez has 12 plate appearances against Zack Wheeler in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 12 with 6 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	12	12	0	0	0	0	6	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.43	0.05	0.16	0.21			0.036

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-28	Strikeout
2024-09-28	Strikeout
2024-09-28	Strikeout
2024-08-15	Strikeout
2024-08-15	Groundout		2%	12%	86%
2024-08-15	Pop Out				100%
2022-07-08	Flyout	5%	11%		83%
2022-07-08	Lineout		3%	5%	92%
2022-07-08	Strikeout
2022-07-03	Strikeout
2022-07-03	Pop Out				100%
2022-07-03	Groundout			3%	97%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe