Matchup Machine

Elehuris Montero

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matchup for P. Sandoval

77th out of 436 (Best 18%)

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Patrick Sandoval

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matchup for E. Montero

264th out of 567 (Best 47%)

Moderate advantage for Sandoval
3

Model Prediction

Elehuris Montero has a 28.8% chance of reaching base vs Patrick Sandoval, which is 1.0% higher than Montero's typical expectations, and 3.1% lower than batters facing Sandoval.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.8%21.2%2.7%4.6%14.0%7.6%27.1%
Montero+1.0+0.1-0.1-0.3+0.6+0.9-1.7
Sandoval-3.1-1.3+0.1-0.2-1.3-1.8+3.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Elehuris Montero is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Patrick Sandoval is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Montero has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Patrick Sandoval throws a Changeup 27% of the time. Elehuris Montero has an F grade against left-handed Changeups

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (L)
27%
   4-Seam (L)
26%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Sinker (L)
12%
   Curve (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

17.1% of Elehuris Montero's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.2% higher than the league average. Patrick Sandoval strikes out 16.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.2% +3.4% 5%         Walk -0.7% 0.0% 41%         In Play -3.5% -3.4% 39%         On Base -4.1% -0.2% 31%         Hit -3.4% -0.1% 14%         Single -1.9% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% +0.8% 3%         Home Run -0.1% -1.4%

History

Elehuris Montero has 3 plate appearances against Patrick Sandoval in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual332011000.667
Expected From Contact →1.730.210.730.790.576
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-06-23Lineout4%9%3%85%
2023-06-23Double17%64%18%
2023-06-23Single76%24%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.