Matchup Machine

Keibert Ruiz

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

427th out of 436 (Worst 2%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Keibert Ruiz

314th out of 567 (Worst 45%)

Moderate advantage for Ruiz
5

Model Prediction

Keibert Ruiz has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 0.1% higher than Ruiz's typical expectations, and 2.7% higher than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.2%26.4%3.4%6.4%16.5%3.8%17.7%
Ruiz+0.1+1.2+0.3+0.6+0.3-1.1+5.9
Crochet+2.7+5.4+1.0+1.4+3.1-2.7-17.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Keibert Ruiz is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Ruiz has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Keibert Ruiz has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

6.6% of Keibert Ruiz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 13.5% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -13.5% +9.4% 6%         Walk -4.9% -1.3% 32%         In Play +18.4% -8.1% 39%         On Base +0.9% -3.9% 31%         Hit +5.8% -2.5% 14%         Single +2.3% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +0.7% +0.1%

History

Keibert Ruiz has 2 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000200.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-15Strikeout
2024-05-15Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.