Matchup Machine

Keibert Ruiz

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matchup for Tanner Bibee

384th out of 436 (Worst 12%)

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Tanner Bibee

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matchup for Keibert Ruiz

238th out of 567 (Best 43%)

Strong advantage for Ruiz
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Model Prediction

Keibert Ruiz has a 30.0% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Bibee, which is 0.1% higher than Ruiz's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Bibee.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.0%25.0%2.9%6.8%15.3%5.0%9.9%
Ruiz-0.1-0.2-0.2+1.0-1.0+0.1-1.9
Bibee-1.1+3.0+0.1+1.7+1.2-4.0-15.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Keibert Ruiz is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tanner Bibee is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ruiz has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Bibee throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Keibert Ruiz has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
45%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Changeup (R)
17%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

6.6% of Keibert Ruiz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 13.5% lower than the league average. Tanner Bibee strikes out 17.7% of the batters he faces, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -13.5% +2.8% 6%         Walk -4.9% -1.3% 32%         In Play +18.4% -1.5% 39%         On Base +0.9% -1.1% 31%         Hit +5.8% +0.2% 14%         Single +2.3% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% +0.2% 3%         Home Run +0.7% +0.2%

History

Keibert Ruiz has 3 plate appearances against Tanner Bibee in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.730.000.140.590.242
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-31Lineout13%58%28%
2024-05-31Flyout100%
2024-05-31Flyout99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.