Matchup Machine

Keibert Ruiz

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matchup for Logan Webb

427th out of 436 (Worst 2%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for Keibert Ruiz

7th out of 567 (Best 2%)

Extreme advantage for Ruiz
10

Model Prediction

Keibert Ruiz has a 35.8% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 5.7% higher than Ruiz's typical expectations, and 3.6% higher than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.8%31.0%3.0%7.3%20.7%4.8%11.6%
Ruiz+5.7+5.8-0.1+1.5+4.4-0.1-0.3
Webb+3.6+6.3+0.6+2.1+3.6-2.7-10.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Keibert Ruiz is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ruiz has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Keibert Ruiz has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

6.6% of Keibert Ruiz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 13.5% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -13.5% -0.8% 6%         Walk -4.9% -2.4% 32%         In Play +18.4% +3.2% 39%         On Base +0.9% +1.6% 31%         Hit +5.8% +4.0% 14%         Single +2.3% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% +2.8% 3%         Home Run +0.7% -1.3%

History

Keibert Ruiz has 11 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 8 with a double and 3 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual1183012130.375
Expected From Contact →1.700.081.060.570.213
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-05Strikeout
2024-08-05Walk
2024-08-05Groundout7%93%
2023-07-22Walk
2023-05-09Lineout6%63%2%28%
2023-05-09Walk
2023-05-09Groundout8%92%
2023-05-09Single21%79%
2022-04-24Groundout9%91%
2022-04-24Single4%96%
2022-04-24Double1%42%7%50%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.