Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Keibert Ruiz

matchup for David Peterson

394th out of 436 (Worst 10%)

David Peterson

matchup for Keibert Ruiz

171st out of 567 (Best 31%)

Strong advantage for Ruiz

Keibert Ruiz has a 32.1% chance of reaching base vs David Peterson, which is 2.0% higher than Ruiz's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Peterson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.1%	27.3%	2.7%	6.0%	18.6%	4.7%	10.6%
Ruiz	+2.0	+2.1	-0.4	+0.2	+2.3	-0.2	-1.3
Peterson	-0.8	+4.4	+0.5	+1.0	+2.9	-5.2	-11.3

Keibert Ruiz is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. David Peterson is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Ruiz has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

David Peterson throws a 4-seam fastball 30% of the time. Keibert Ruiz has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

30%

Sinker (L)

24%

Slider (L)

23%

Changeup (L)

17%

Curve (L)

11% of David Peterson's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Keibert Ruiz has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+2%

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

26% of David Peterson's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 11% higher than the MLB average. Keibert Ruiz has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 26%

+11%

Low Ride 34%

+11%

Slow Velo 23%

+10%

6.6% of Keibert Ruiz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 13.5% lower than the league average. David Peterson strikes out 16.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

20%

Strikeout -13.5% +0.1% 6%

Walk -4.9% +1.3% 32%

In Play +18.4% -1.3% 39%

On Base +0.9% +2.1% 31%

Hit +5.8% +0.8% 14%

Single +2.3% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B +2.7% +1.1% 3%

Home Run +0.7% -1.0%

31.1% of Keibert Ruiz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. David Peterson induces Standard Grounders at a 40.7% rate, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.7% +0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.3% +6.3% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.4% -0.4% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% -2.0% 9%

Rising Liner -0.5% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.3% -2.2% 3%

Likely Homer -1.2% -0.3% 1%

No Doubter 0.0% +1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.9% -3.8% 3%

Pop up +3.9% +1.0%

13.7% of Keibert Ruiz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 10.6% lower than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by David Peterson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.3% +1.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.6% +0.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +4.7% -1.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.9% -4.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -10.6% +3.6%

11.8% of Keibert Ruiz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. 5.3% of batted balls allowed by David Peterson are hit at this angle, which is 6.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.9% +5.5% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.3% +1.8% 8%

1 to 6° -0.8% -2.0% 18%

7 to 18° -0.6% +2.7% 15%

19 to 28° +1.1% -2.1% 11%

29 to 38° +0.3% -6.2% 7%

39 to 50° +1.2% -1.8% 8%

Above 50° +3.9% +1.9%

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	17	16	4	0	0	4	0	1	0.250
Expected From Contact →			4.57	0.00	0.08	4.49			0.286

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-01	Single		1%	92%	6%
2024-07-01	Single			51%	48%
2024-07-01	Groundout			10%	90%
2024-06-04	Lineout		2%	35%	63%
2024-06-04	Groundout			47%	52%
2024-06-04	Groundout			3%	97%
2023-07-27	Single			84%	15%
2023-05-15	Sac Fly				100%
2023-05-15	Groundout			14%	86%
2023-05-15	Hit By Pitch
2022-09-02	Pickoff 1B
2022-09-02	Pop Out				100%
2022-09-02	Groundout			31%	69%
2022-09-02	Pop Out				100%
2022-05-30	Single		3%	74%	23%
2022-05-30	Forceout			7%	93%
2022-05-30	Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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