Matchup Machine

Keibert Ruiz

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matchup for Ranger Suarez

420th out of 436 (Worst 4%)

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Ranger Suarez

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matchup for Keibert Ruiz

13th out of 567 (Best 3%)

Extreme advantage for Ruiz
10

Model Prediction

Keibert Ruiz has a 34.2% chance of reaching base vs Ranger Suarez, which is 4.0% higher than Ruiz's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Suarez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.2%29.0%3.9%7.4%17.8%5.1%11.9%
Ruiz+4.0+3.8+0.8+1.5+1.5+0.20.0
Suarez+0.1+4.2+1.4+1.7+1.1-4.1-12.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Keibert Ruiz is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ranger Suarez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Ruiz has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ranger Suarez throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Keibert Ruiz has an A+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
33%
   4-Seam (L)
21%
   Changeup (L)
20%
   Curve (L)
12%
   Cutter (L)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

6.6% of Keibert Ruiz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 13.5% lower than the league average. Ranger Suarez strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -13.5% +0.1% 6%         Walk -4.9% -1.2% 32%         In Play +18.4% +1.1% 39%         On Base +0.9% +1.9% 31%         Hit +5.8% +3.1% 14%         Single +2.3% +1.8% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% +2.2% 3%         Home Run +0.7% -0.9%

History

Keibert Ruiz has 8 plate appearances against Ranger Suarez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 8 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual881001200.125
Expected From Contact →1.110.000.120.990.139
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-27Single67%33%
2024-09-27Groundout7%93%
2024-04-06Flyout99%
2024-04-06Groundout7%93%
2024-04-06Strikeout
2023-08-08Groundout11%88%
2023-08-08Strikeout
2023-08-08Groundout11%6%83%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.