Matchup Machine

Keibert Ruiz

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matchup for Austin Gomber

275th out of 436 (Worst 37%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Keibert Ruiz

186th out of 567 (Best 34%)

Strong advantage for Ruiz
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Model Prediction

Keibert Ruiz has a 29.6% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 0.5% lower than Ruiz's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.6%26.5%3.5%6.6%16.4%3.1%8.7%
Ruiz-0.5+1.3+0.4+0.8+0.1-1.8-3.2
Gomber-2.2+0.6+0.20.0+0.4-2.7-9.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Keibert Ruiz is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Ruiz has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Keibert Ruiz has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

6.6% of Keibert Ruiz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 13.5% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -13.5% -3.3% 6%         Walk -4.9% -2.5% 32%         In Play +18.4% +5.9% 39%         On Base +0.9% +0.6% 31%         Hit +5.8% +3.1% 14%         Single +2.3% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +0.7% +0.3%

History

Keibert Ruiz has 2 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.270.000.000.270.135
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-25Strikeout
2023-07-25Groundout27%73%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.