Matchup Machine

Keibert Ruiz

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matchup for Zack Wheeler

383rd out of 436 (Worst 12%)

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Zack Wheeler

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matchup for Keibert Ruiz

565th out of 567 (Worst 1%)

Moderate advantage for Wheeler
5

Model Prediction

Keibert Ruiz has a 24.1% chance of reaching base vs Zack Wheeler, which is 6.9% lower than Ruiz's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Wheeler.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.1%18.8%3.0%4.6%11.2%5.3%17.6%
Ruiz-6.9-7.1-0.2-1.3-5.6+0.3+5.8
Wheeler-1.6+2.2+0.1+1.3+0.8-3.8-16.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Keibert Ruiz is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Zack Wheeler is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ruiz has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zack Wheeler throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Keibert Ruiz has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
42%
   Slider (R)
21%
   Sinker (R)
19%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

6.6% of Keibert Ruiz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 13.5% lower than the league average. Zack Wheeler strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -13.5% +7.8% 6%         Walk -4.8% -2.6% 32%         In Play +18.3% -5.2% 39%         On Base +1.3% -6.5% 31%         Hit +6.0% -3.8% 14%         Single +2.7% -1.5% 13%         2B / 3B +2.8% -1.4% 3%         Home Run +0.6% -1.0%

History

Keibert Ruiz has 24 plate appearances against Zack Wheeler in the last 3 years. He is 8 for 24 with 3 home runs and 2 doubles and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual24248323500.333
Expected From Contact →8.402.902.243.260.350
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-27Single
2025-03-27Home Run
2024-09-28Strikeout
2024-09-28Single72%28%
2024-09-28Flyout8%2%90%
2024-08-15Flyout2%12%86%
2024-08-15Home Run84%11%5%
2024-05-17Groundout12%88%
2024-05-17Flyout100%
2024-05-17Double50%16%34%
2023-08-20Pop Out
2023-08-20Groundout
2023-08-20Double
2023-08-08Flyout99%
2023-08-08Home Run73%2%24%
2023-08-08Single4%74%22%
2023-07-01Strikeout
2023-07-01Flyout6%1%93%
2023-07-01Strikeout
2023-06-02Lineout27%17%55%
2023-06-02Flyout33%11%56%
2022-06-16Strikeout
2022-06-16Pop Out1%17%81%
2022-06-16Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.