Matchup Machine

      Ronald Acuna Jr.

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      matchup for Andrew Wantz

      427th out of 436 (Worst 2%)

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      Andrew Wantz

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      matchup for R. Acuna Jr.

      out of 564 (Worst %)

      Extreme advantage for Acuna Jr.
      10

      Model Prediction

      Ronald Acuna Jr. has a 38.6% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Wantz, which is 2.4% higher than Acuna Jr.'s typical expectations, and 6.8% higher than batters facing Wantz.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Ronald Acuna Jr. is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Andrew Wantz is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Acuna Jr. has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Andrew Wantz throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Ronald Acuna Jr. has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      45%
         Slider (R)
      25%
         Cutter (R)
      24%
         Changeup (R)
      6%

      Contact and Outcomes

      10.9% of Ronald Acuna Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.3% lower than the league average. Andrew Wantz strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 7.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.3% +7.5% 3%         Walk +3.3% +2.0% 38%         In Play +3.0% -9.5% 39%         On Base +8.5% -6.5% 31%         Hit +5.3% -8.5% 14%         Single +1.8% -4.3% 13%         2B / 3B +1.9% -3.9% 3%         Home Run +1.6% -0.3%

      History

      Ronald Acuna Jr. has 1 plate appearance against Andrew Wantz in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual111001001.000
      Expected From Contact →0.690.000.340.350.690
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2022-07-24Single34%35%31%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.