Matchup Machine

Ronald Acuna Jr.

Worst 1% of matchups for C. Sanchez

Cristopher Sanchez

Worst 32% of matchups for R. Acuna Jr.

Extreme advantage for Acuna Jr.

+10

Model Prediction
Prediction	3.9%	4.7%	19.3%	7.5%	14.9%
MLB (+/-)	+1.1	+0.4	+5.4	-2.2	-10.4
Acuna Jr.	-0.0	-0.0	+1.3	-3.0	-0.5
Sanchez	+0.8	+0.1	+4.6	+0.7	-9.8

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

3.9%

4.7%

19.3%

7.5%

14.9%

MLB (+/-)

+1.1

+0.4

+5.4

-2.2

-10.4

Acuna Jr.

-0.0

+1.3

-3.0

-0.5

Sanchez

+0.8

+0.1

+4.6

+0.7

-9.8

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	3	1	0	2	1	0	.500
Expected From Contact →			3.19	1.02	0.21	1.96			.532

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Home Run	97%			2%
2023-09-19	Groundout			9%	91%
2023-09-13	Strikeout
2023-09-13	Single			90%	10%
2023-09-13	Lineout	4%	20%	16%	60%
2023-09-13	Single			82%	18%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
⭐	48%	88	RHB vs LHP	29	80%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

⭐

48%

RHB vs LHP

80%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	49%	119	Fastball	20	46%
	10%	81	Offspeed	96	32%
⭐⭐	24%	125	Breaking	30	22%
			------------------
⭐⭐	49%	111	Sinker	37	46%
	51%	65	Changeup	89	32%
⭐⭐	48%	121	Slider	29	22%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

49%

119

Fastball

46%

10%

Offspeed

32%

⭐⭐

24%

125

Breaking

22%

------------------

⭐⭐

49%

111

Sinker

46%

51%

Changeup

32%

⭐⭐

48%

121

Slider

22%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	80%	125	Bottom of zone	5	18%
	79%	88	In / Glove Side	80	12%
⭐⭐	58%	101	Away / Arm Side	-12	10%
⭐	74%	80	Top of zone	30	7%
	75%	61	Middle	41	5%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

80%

125

Bottom of zone

18%

79%

In / Glove Side

12%

⭐⭐

58%

101

Away / Arm Side

-12

10%

⭐

74%

Top of zone

75%

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
40%	91	Below the zone	56	47%
36%	52	In / Glove Side	58	26%
14%	47	Away / Arm Side	43	23%
18%	63	Above the zone	27	9%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

40%

Below the zone

47%

36%

In / Glove Side

26%

14%

Away / Arm Side

23%

18%

Above the zone

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	49%	103	Batter Behind	28	31%
⭐⭐	60%	108	2 Strikes	40	28%
⭐⭐	40%	125	First Pitch	30	27%
⭐	53%	84	Batter Ahead	35	23%
	65%	84	3 Balls	51	6%
⭐⭐	71%	111	Full Count	40	4%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

49%

103

Batter Behind

31%

⭐⭐

60%

108

2 Strikes

28%

⭐⭐

40%

125

First Pitch

27%

⭐

53%

Batter Ahead

23%

65%

3 Balls

⭐⭐

71%

111

Full Count