Matchup Machine

Ronald Acuna Jr.

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matchup for Michael King

369th out of 436 (Worst 16%)

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Michael King

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matchup for R. Acuna Jr.

473rd out of 567 (Worst 17%)

Moderate advantage for Acuna Jr.
3

Model Prediction

Ronald Acuna Jr. has a 33.2% chance of reaching base vs Michael King, which is 3.0% lower than Acuna Jr.'s typical expectations, and 2.7% higher than batters facing King.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.2%22.0%2.9%4.5%14.6%11.2%26.3%
Acuna Jr.-3.0-1.9-0.2-0.6-1.0-1.2+5.0
King+2.7+0.8+0.3+0.0+0.5+1.9-2.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Ronald Acuna Jr. is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Michael King is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Acuna Jr. has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Michael King throws a Sinker 37% of the time. Ronald Acuna Jr. has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
37%
   Slider (R)
20%
   4-Seam (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
18%
   Curve (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

10.9% of Ronald Acuna Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.3% lower than the league average. Michael King strikes out 18.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.3% +4.8% 3%         Walk +3.3% +0.2% 38%         In Play +3.0% -5.0% 39%         On Base +8.5% -1.9% 31%         Hit +5.3% -2.1% 14%         Single +1.8% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B +1.9% -1.0% 3%         Home Run +1.6% -0.4%

History

Ronald Acuna Jr. has 1 plate appearance against Michael King in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 0 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual100000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-16Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.