Matchup Machine

Ronald Acuna Jr.

Worst 2% of matchups for Austin Gomber

Austin Gomber

Best 33% of matchups for R. Acuna Jr.

Extreme advantage for Acuna Jr.

+10

Model Prediction
Prediction	3.4%	4.8%	20.7%	6.9%	11.8%
MLB (+/-)	+0.6	+0.5	+6.7	-2.8	-13.4
Acuna Jr.	-0.3	+0.1	+2.7	-1.8	-6.9
Gomber	+0.1	+0.4	+4.4	-1.0	-4.5

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

3.4%

4.8%

20.7%

6.9%

11.8%

MLB (+/-)

+0.6

+0.5

+6.7

-2.8

-13.4

Acuna Jr.

-0.3

+0.1

+2.7

-1.8

-6.9

Gomber

+0.1

+0.4

+4.4

-1.0

-4.5

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	.000
Expected From Contact →			0.44	0.06	0.22	0.16			.147

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-08-28	Groundout		3%	9%	88%
2023-08-28	Walk
2022-06-02	Walk
2022-06-02	Groundout		17%	7%	76%
2022-06-02	Flyout	6%	2%		92%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	50%	88	RHB vs LHP	-14	80%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

50%

RHB vs LHP

-14

80%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	49%	113	Fastball	16	45%
⭐⭐	25%	125	Breaking	-26	37%
⭐	9%	73	Offspeed	0	18%
			------------------
⭐⭐	47%	100	Four-Seam FB	-3	44%
⭐⭐	50%	124	Slider	-6	20%
	51%	57	Changeup	0	18%
	59%	22	Knuckle-Curve	-94	17%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

49%

113

Fastball

45%

⭐⭐

25%

125

Breaking

-26

37%

⭐

Offspeed

18%

------------------

⭐⭐

47%

100

Four-Seam FB

-3

44%

⭐⭐

50%

124

Slider

-6

20%

51%

Changeup

18%

59%

Knuckle-Curve

-94

17%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	81%	125	Bottom of zone	13	13%
⭐	73%	71	Top of zone	-3	12%
⭐⭐	59%	83	Away / Arm Side	9	11%
⭐⭐	83%	101	In / Glove Side	-29	10%
	77%	47	Middle	-23	7%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

81%

125

Bottom of zone

13%

⭐

73%

Top of zone

-3

12%

⭐⭐

59%

Away / Arm Side

11%

⭐⭐

83%

101

In / Glove Side

-29

10%

77%

Middle

-23

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	41%	108	Below the zone	22	30%
⭐	39%	76	In / Glove Side	30	24%
	19%	42	Above the zone	8	24%
	13%	46	Away / Arm Side	-3	22%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

41%

108

Below the zone

30%

⭐

39%

In / Glove Side

24%

19%

Above the zone

24%

13%

Away / Arm Side

-3

22%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	38%	125	First Pitch	10	28%
⭐⭐	50%	101	Batter Behind	0	28%
⭐⭐	54%	101	Batter Ahead	4	26%
⭐⭐	60%	113	2 Strikes	-23	26%
⭐⭐	65%	96	3 Balls	2	8%
⭐⭐	72%	119	Full Count	-9	4%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

38%

125

First Pitch

28%

⭐⭐

50%

101

Batter Behind

28%

⭐⭐

54%

101

Batter Ahead

26%

⭐⭐

60%

113

2 Strikes

-23

26%

⭐⭐

65%

3 Balls

⭐⭐

72%

119

Full Count

-9