Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ronald Acuna Jr.

matchup for Caleb Thielbar

412th out of 436 (Worst 6%)

Caleb Thielbar

matchup for R. Acuna Jr.

254th out of 567 (Best 46%)

Extreme advantage for Acuna Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has a 37.1% chance of reaching base vs Caleb Thielbar, which is 0.9% higher than Acuna Jr.'s typical expectations, and 5.3% higher than batters facing Thielbar.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	37.1%	23.7%	3.6%	5.8%	14.3%	13.4%	26.3%
Acuna Jr.	+0.9	-0.1	+0.5	+0.7	-1.4	+1.0	+5.1
Thielbar	+5.3	+1.9	+0.4	+0.8	+0.8	+3.3	-1.6

Ronald Acuna Jr. is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Caleb Thielbar is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Acuna Jr. has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Caleb Thielbar throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Ronald Acuna Jr. has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

49%

Slider (L)

29%

Curve (L)

22%

16% of Caleb Thielbar's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Ronald Acuna Jr. has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 16%

+5%

Strong Challenge 9%

+4%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Meatball 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-3%

Non-Competitive 8%

-4%

50% of Caleb Thielbar's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Ronald Acuna Jr. has an A+ grade against this type of pitch from left handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (L) 50%

+21%

Small Break 29%

+21%

Slow Lob 22%

+18%

Extreme Drop 22%

+17%

10.9% of Ronald Acuna Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.3% lower than the league average. Caleb Thielbar strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -6.3% +5.2% 3%

Walk +3.3% +1.9% 38%

In Play +3.0% -7.1% 39%

On Base +8.5% -6.1% 31%

Hit +5.3% -8.0% 14%

Single +1.8% -4.3% 13%

2B / 3B +1.9% -3.9% 3%

Home Run +1.6% +0.2%

32.5% of Ronald Acuna Jr.'s batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. Caleb Thielbar induces Standard Grounders at a 31.6% rate, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.9% -2.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.8% -3.1% 14%

Low Screamer -3.7% -0.5% 9%

Rising Liner +2.2% -1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.8% -0.7% 3%

Likely Homer +2.5% +0.9% 1%

No Doubter +1.0% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.7% +2.4% 3%

Pop up -0.5% +5.0%

39.8% of Ronald Acuna Jr.'s batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 15.5% higher than the league average. 23.3% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Thielbar are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.6% +2.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -6.2% +1.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -5.7% +2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.0% -4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +15.5% -1.0%

10.9% of Ronald Acuna Jr.'s batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Thielbar are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%