Ronald Acuna Jr. has a 40.8% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 4.8% higher than Acuna Jr.'s typical expectations, and 6.9% higher than batters facing Perez.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 40.8% | 25.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 17.0% |
Acuna Jr. | +4.8 | +2.3 | +0.4 | -0.3 | +2.2 | +2.5 | -4.4 |
Perez | +6.9 | +1.9 | +0.6 | -0.9 | +2.1 | +5.0 | -4.2 |
Ronald Acuna Jr. is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Acuna Jr. has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Ronald Acuna Jr. has an A+ grade against left-handed Sinkers
22% of Martin Perez's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Ronald Acuna Jr. has a B- grade against this type of pitch.
62% of Martin Perez's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 38% higher than the MLB average. Ronald Acuna Jr. has an A grade against this type of pitch.
10.9% of Ronald Acuna Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.3% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 12.2% of the batters he faces, which is 5.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.
32.5% of Ronald Acuna Jr.'s batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. Martin Perez induces Standard Grounders at a 39.6% rate, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
39.8% of Ronald Acuna Jr.'s batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 15.5% higher than the league average. 24.3% of batted balls allowed by Martin Perez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.
10.9% of Ronald Acuna Jr.'s batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Martin Perez are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Ronald Acuna Jr. has 1 plate appearance against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a double and
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.97 | 0.73 | 0.23 | 0.00 | 0.967 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-05-26 | Double | 73% | 23% | 3% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.