Matchup Machine

      Ronald Acuna Jr.

      sometext

      matchup for Martin Perez

      430th out of 436 (Worst 2%)

      sometext

      Martin Perez

      sometext

      matchup for R. Acuna Jr.

      59th out of 564 (Best 11%)

      Extreme advantage for Acuna Jr.
      10

      Model Prediction

      Ronald Acuna Jr. has a 40.8% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 4.8% higher than Acuna Jr.'s typical expectations, and 6.9% higher than batters facing Perez.

      Handedness and Release Point

      Click on a grade for a detailed view

      Ronald Acuna Jr. is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Acuna Jr. has a B grade vs this particular release point.

      Left Arrow
      Show Vertical Release

      On the Way to the Plate

      Click on a grade for a detailed view

      Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Ronald Acuna Jr. has an A+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
      34%
         Changeup (L)
      25%
         Cutter (L)
      25%
         4-Seam (L)
      8%
         Curve (L)
      7%

      Contact and Outcomes

      10.9% of Ronald Acuna Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.3% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 12.2% of the batters he faces, which is 5.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.3% -5.7% 3%         Walk +3.3% -0.2% 38%         In Play +3.0% +5.9% 39%         On Base +8.5% +5.6% 31%         Hit +5.3% +5.8% 14%         Single +1.8% +3.3% 13%         2B / 3B +1.9% +3.1% 3%         Home Run +1.6% -0.6%

      History

      Ronald Acuna Jr. has 1 plate appearance against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a double and

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual111010001.000
      Expected From Contact →0.970.730.230.000.967
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-05-26Double73%23%3%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.