Matchup Machine

Vidal Brujan

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matchup for JP Sears

98th out of 436 (Best 23%)

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JP Sears

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matchup for Vidal Brujan

135th out of 567 (Best 25%)

Leans in favor of Brujan
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Model Prediction

Vidal Brujan has a 28.2% chance of reaching base vs JP Sears, which is 0.2% higher than Brujan's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Sears.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.2%21.5%2.5%5.9%13.1%6.7%17.4%
Brujan-0.2+0.6+0.8+1.0-1.2-0.8-6.8
Sears-1.6-1.1-1.10.0+0.1-0.5-1.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Vidal Brujan is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. JP Sears is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Brujan doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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JP Sears throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Vidal Brujan has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
43%
   Slider (L)
33%
   Changeup (L)
17%
   Sinker (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

13.1% of Vidal Brujan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. JP Sears strikes out 14.1% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.6% -2.6% 4%         Walk -0.1% -1.1% 38%         In Play +2.6% +3.7% 39%         On Base -1.7% -2.6% 31%         Hit -1.7% -1.5% 14%         Single 0.0% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% -1.1% 3%         Home Run -2.2% +1.2%

History

Vidal Brujan has 2 plate appearances against JP Sears in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual222011001.000
Expected From Contact →1.740.010.651.080.872
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-03Double1%64%15%20%
2024-05-03Single94%6%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.