Matchup Machine

Vidal Brujan

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matchup for Patrick Corbin

69th out of 436 (Best 17%)

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Patrick Corbin

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matchup for Vidal Brujan

187th out of 567 (Best 34%)

Leans in favor of Corbin
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Model Prediction

Vidal Brujan has a 29.7% chance of reaching base vs Patrick Corbin, which is 1.4% higher than Brujan's typical expectations, and 3.3% lower than batters facing Corbin.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.7%23.5%1.7%5.1%16.7%6.2%19.6%
Brujan+1.4+2.60.0+0.1+2.4-1.2-4.6
Corbin-3.3-1.9-1.0-0.7-0.2-1.4-2.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Vidal Brujan is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Patrick Corbin is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Brujan doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Patrick Corbin throws a Sinker 38% of the time. Vidal Brujan hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
38%
   Slider (L)
34%
   4-Seam (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
5%
   Cutter (L)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

13.1% of Vidal Brujan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. Patrick Corbin strikes out 17.4% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.6% +2.1% 4%         Walk -0.1% -2.5% 38%         In Play +2.6% +0.4% 39%         On Base -1.7% -0.7% 31%         Hit -1.7% +1.8% 14%         Single 0.0% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -2.2% -0.7%

History

Vidal Brujan has 2 plate appearances against Patrick Corbin in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221010000.500
Expected From Contact →0.490.000.110.380.246
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-28Groundout19%81%
2024-04-28Triple11%19%70%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.