Matchup Machine

Vidal Brujan

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matchup for Martin Perez

16th out of 436 (Best 4%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Vidal Brujan

151st out of 567 (Best 27%)

Leans in favor of Perez
1

Model Prediction

Vidal Brujan has a 30.0% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 1.7% higher than Brujan's typical expectations, and 4.6% lower than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.0%22.1%2.0%4.5%15.6%7.9%18.5%
Brujan+1.7+1.2+0.3-0.4+1.3+0.4-5.7
Perez-4.6-3.2-1.0-0.8-1.3-1.5+0.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Vidal Brujan is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Brujan doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Vidal Brujan hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

13.1% of Vidal Brujan's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.6% -6.1% 4%         Walk -0.1% -0.3% 38%         In Play +2.6% +6.4% 39%         On Base -1.7% +5.9% 31%         Hit -1.7% +6.3% 14%         Single 0.0% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% +3.3% 3%         Home Run -2.2% -0.6%

History

Vidal Brujan has 2 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.600.000.030.580.301
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-05-31Flyout100%
2022-05-31Flyout3%58%40%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.