Matchup Machine

Shohei Ohtani

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matchup for Y. Yamamoto

404th out of 436 (Worst 8%)

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Yoshinobu Yamamoto

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matchup for Shohei Ohtani

479th out of 567 (Worst 16%)

Moderate advantage for Ohtani
3

Model Prediction

Shohei Ohtani has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto, which is 3.3% lower than Ohtani's typical expectations, and 2.8% higher than batters facing Yamamoto.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.0%20.4%4.5%4.0%12.0%11.6%31.1%
Ohtani-3.3-1.8+0.0-1.4-0.4-1.5+5.5
Yamamoto+2.8+0.2+2.1+0.2-2.1+2.7+3.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Shohei Ohtani is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Yoshinobu Yamamoto is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ohtani has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Shohei Ohtani has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
41%
   Splitter (R)
24%
   Curve (R)
22%
   Cutter (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

14.4% of Shohei Ohtani's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Yoshinobu Yamamoto strikes out 19.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.3% +3.3% 3%         Walk +3.7% -1.8% 41%         In Play -3.4% -1.4% 39%         On Base +3.7% +1.2% 31%         Hit +0.1% +3.1% 14%         Single -3.4% +1.0% 13%         2B / 3B -2.9% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +6.4% +0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years