Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Shohei Ohtani

matchup for Penn Murfee

349th out of 436 (Worst 20%)

Penn Murfee

matchup for Shohei Ohtani

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Ohtani

Shohei Ohtani has a 32.4% chance of reaching base vs Penn Murfee, which is 2.9% lower than Ohtani's typical expectations, and 2.5% higher than batters facing Murfee.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.4%	17.1%	3.5%	3.9%	9.7%	15.4%	31.1%
Ohtani	-2.9	-5.2	-1.0	-1.5	-2.8	+2.3	+5.4
Murfee	+2.5	-2.6	+1.0	-0.3	-3.3	+5.1	+3.4

Shohei Ohtani is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Penn Murfee is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Ohtani has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Penn Murfee throws a Slider 52% of the time. Shohei Ohtani has an A+ grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

52%

4-Seam (R)

41%

Sinker (R)

14% of Penn Murfee's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Shohei Ohtani has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Likely Ball 22%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Meatball 6%

Weak Challenge 5%

-3%

Non-Competitive 8%

-5%

38% of Penn Murfee's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 33% higher than the MLB average. Shohei Ohtani has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 38%

+33%

Extreme Slow Velo 35%

+30%

Breaking (R) 53%

+22%

Just Gravity 34%

+21%

14.4% of Shohei Ohtani's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Penn Murfee strikes out 21.5% of the batters he faces, which is 8.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.3% +8.1% 3%

Walk +3.7% -1.7% 41%

In Play -3.4% -6.4% 39%

On Base +3.7% -4.8% 31%

Hit +0.1% -3.1% 14%

Single -3.4% -0.3% 13%

2B / 3B -2.9% +0.2% 3%

Home Run +6.4% -3.0%

32.2% of Shohei Ohtani's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. Penn Murfee induces Standard Grounders at a 34.0% rate, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.2% -0.5% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.4% -5.1% 14%

Low Screamer -3.5% +4.5% 9%

Rising Liner +1.2% -1.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -2.4% 3%

Likely Homer +4.3% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter +1.9% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.9% +1.8% 3%

Pop up -0.6% +2.9%

42.5% of Shohei Ohtani's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 18.2% higher than the league average. 14.5% of batted balls allowed by Penn Murfee are hit at above 100 mph, which is 9.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -6.3% +12.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.5% -0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -5.4% -1.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -5.0% -0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +18.2% -9.8%

11.7% of Shohei Ohtani's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. 15.2% of batted balls allowed by Penn Murfee are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -1.6% -1.9% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.8% -1.9% 8%

1 to 6° +0.4% -1.1% 18%

7 to 18° +1.5% -3.7% 15%

19 to 28° -1.5% +1.3% 11%

29 to 38° +0.2% +3.8% 7%

39 to 50° +0.4% -0.4% 8%

Above 50° -0.3% +3.8%

Shohei Ohtani has 2 plate appearances against Penn Murfee in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			1.29	0.24	1.02	0.04			0.647

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-08-17	Triple		94%	4%	2%
2022-06-18	Flyout	24%	8%		68%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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