Matchup Machine

Edward Olivares

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

319th out of 436 (Worst 27%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Edward Olivares

59th out of 567 (Best 11%)

Strong advantage for Olivares
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Model Prediction

Edward Olivares has a 35.6% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 3.5% higher than Olivares's typical expectations, and 1.9% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.6%24.5%2.0%5.3%17.2%11.1%15.9%
Olivares+3.5+0.6+0.3+0.4-0.1+2.9-3.6
Anderson+1.9+2.2-0.9+0.0+3.1-0.3-5.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Edward Olivares is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Olivares has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Edward Olivares has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

10.6% of Edward Olivares's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.8% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.8% -1.9% 4%         Walk -0.5% -1.0% 37%         In Play +7.3% +2.9% 39%         On Base +5.5% -0.1% 31%         Hit +6.1% +0.9% 14%         Single +2.6% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +3.0% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +0.5% -0.2%

History

Edward Olivares has 6 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 6 with a home run and a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual662110000.333
Expected From Contact →1.980.921.020.040.331
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-06Pop Out99%
2024-05-06Home Run92%5%2%
2024-05-06Double96%3%1%
2023-04-22Pop Out100%
2023-04-22Flyout99%
2023-04-22Flyout99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.