Matchup Machine

Gavin Sheets

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matchup for Jared Jones

80th out of 436 (Best 19%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Gavin Sheets

473rd out of 567 (Worst 17%)

Moderate advantage for Jones
5

Model Prediction

Gavin Sheets has a 28.1% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.9% lower than Sheets's typical expectations, and 2.9% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.1%19.3%1.9%4.5%12.8%8.9%29.3%
Sheets-1.9-3.3-0.1-0.7-2.4+1.4+7.3
Jones-2.9-1.5-1.0-0.50.0-1.4+0.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Gavin Sheets is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Sheets has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Gavin Sheets has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

12.9% of Gavin Sheets's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.8% +0.4% 5%         Walk -0.9% +0.6% 38%         In Play +3.7% -1.1% 39%         On Base +1.2% -0.1% 31%         Hit +2.1% -0.8% 14%         Single +1.4% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +1.5% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -0.8% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years