Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Gavin Sheets

matchup for Pablo Lopez

173rd out of 436 (Best 40%)

Pablo Lopez

matchup for Gavin Sheets

390th out of 567 (Worst 31%)

Moderate advantage for Lopez

Gavin Sheets has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs Pablo Lopez, which is 0.7% lower than Sheets's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Lopez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.3%	23.8%	1.7%	4.5%	17.6%	5.6%	22.0%
Sheets	-0.7	+1.2	-0.3	-0.8	+2.3	-1.9	+0.0
Lopez	-1.2	+0.1	-0.8	-0.1	+0.9	-1.3	-3.6

Gavin Sheets is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Pablo Lopez is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Sheets has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Pablo Lopez throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Gavin Sheets has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

37%

Changeup (R)

25%

Slider (R)

13%

Curve (R)

10%

Sinker (R)

8% of Pablo Lopez's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Gavin Sheets has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

25% of Pablo Lopez's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Gavin Sheets has a C grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Offspeed (R) 25%

+14%

Extreme Break 26%

+11%

Fast Velo 26%

+11%

12.9% of Gavin Sheets's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. Pablo Lopez strikes out 18.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.8% +4.2% 5%

Walk -0.9% -2.5% 38%

In Play +3.7% -1.7% 39%

On Base +1.2% -1.8% 31%

Hit +2.1% +0.7% 14%

Single +1.4% +0.3% 13%

2B / 3B +1.5% +0.8% 3%

Home Run -0.8% -0.4%

33.7% of Gavin Sheets's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Pablo Lopez induces Standard Grounders at a 38.8% rate, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -0.7% +4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.8% -1.4% 14%

Low Screamer +3.4% +1.3% 9%

Rising Liner -2.7% -0.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.7% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -0.5% -0.2% 1%

No Doubter +0.2% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% -1.7% 3%

Pop up +2.0% -0.2%

25.7% of Gavin Sheets's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. 23.0% of batted balls allowed by Pablo Lopez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.4% +0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.1% +4.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.4% -0.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.5% -2.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.4% -1.3%

9.8% of Gavin Sheets's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Pablo Lopez are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +2.9% +3.0% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.6% +0.8% 8%

1 to 6° -2.8% -0.3% 18%

7 to 18° -1.7% -1.8% 15%

19 to 28° -0.4% +0.7% 11%

29 to 38° -1.7% -1.1% 7%

39 to 50° +2.4% -0.8% 8%

Above 50° +2.8% -0.5%

Gavin Sheets has 12 plate appearances against Pablo Lopez in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 10 with a home run, a double and 2 walks

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	12	10	2	1	1	0	2	2	0.200
Expected From Contact →			2.25	0.27	1.33	0.66			0.225

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-10	Pop Out				100%
2024-07-10	Groundout		1%	11%	87%
2024-04-23	Double		44%	2%	54%
2024-04-23	Walk
2023-09-16	Home Run	25%	66%	3%	6%
2023-09-16	Strikeout
2023-05-04	Strikeout
2023-05-04	Groundout			1%	99%
2023-05-04	Flyout	2%			97%
2023-04-11	Walk
2023-04-11	Flyout				99%
2023-04-11	Lineout		20%	47%	33%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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