Matchup Machine

Ramon Laureano

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matchup for Dylan Cease

125th out of 436 (Best 29%)

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Dylan Cease

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matchup for Ramon Laureano

462nd out of 567 (Worst 19%)

Strong advantage for Cease
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Model Prediction

Ramon Laureano has a 27.2% chance of reaching base vs Dylan Cease, which is 1.8% lower than Laureano's typical expectations, and 2.6% lower than batters facing Cease.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.2%20.0%2.7%4.5%12.9%7.2%34.1%
Laureano-1.8-2.3-0.8-1.1-0.4+0.5+3.5
Cease-2.6+0.4+0.6+0.1-0.3-3.0+7.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Ramon Laureano is worse vs right-handed pitching. Dylan Cease is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Laureano has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Dylan Cease throws a Slider 43% of the time. Ramon Laureano has a D- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
43%
   4-Seam (R)
42%
   Kn-Curve (R)
12%

Contact and Outcomes

18.3% of Ramon Laureano's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. Dylan Cease strikes out 19.1% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +6.3% +6.3% 5%         Walk -1.7% +1.0% 41%         In Play -4.6% -7.3% 39%         On Base -3.9% -3.9% 31%         Hit -2.2% -4.8% 14%         Single -1.8% -2.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.8% -2.0% 3%         Home Run +1.4% -0.3%

History

Ramon Laureano has 5 plate appearances against Dylan Cease in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual551100200.200
Expected From Contact →1.551.020.400.130.311
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-09-08Lineout16%12%72%
2022-09-08Strikeout
2022-09-08Lineout3%24%72%
2022-07-31Home Run99%
2022-07-31Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.