Matchup Machine

Ramon Laureano

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matchup for Jose Berrios

167th out of 436 (Best 39%)

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Jose Berrios

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matchup for Ramon Laureano

192nd out of 567 (Best 35%)

Moderate advantage for Laureano
3

Model Prediction

Ramon Laureano has a 31.1% chance of reaching base vs Jose Berrios, which is 1.2% higher than Laureano's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Berrios.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.1%25.2%3.6%6.4%15.1%5.9%29.6%
Laureano+1.2+2.2+0.2+1.0+1.1-1.0-0.9
Berrios-2.0+0.2+0.7+0.5-1.0-2.2+6.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Ramon Laureano is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jose Berrios is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Laureano has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jose Berrios throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Ramon Laureano has an A- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
30%
   Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
23%
   Changeup (R)
16%

Contact and Outcomes

18.4% of Ramon Laureano's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.5% higher than the league average. Jose Berrios strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +6.5% +0.7% 5%         Walk -1.7% -0.8% 41%         In Play -4.8% +0.1% 39%         On Base -4.0% -0.3% 31%         Hit -2.3% +0.6% 14%         Single -1.9% +0.2% 13%         2B / 3B -1.8% +0.2% 3%         Home Run +1.4% +0.2%

History

Ramon Laureano has 6 plate appearances against Jose Berrios in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a home run, a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual651100310.200
Expected From Contact →1.020.980.030.000.204
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-07Strikeout
2024-09-07Strikeout
2024-09-07Lineout2%98%
2022-07-06Home Run98%2%
2022-07-06Walk
2022-07-06Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.