Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ramon Laureano

matchup for Jon Gray

188th out of 436 (Best 44%)

Jon Gray

matchup for Ramon Laureano

85th out of 567 (Best 16%)

Strong advantage for Laureano

Ramon Laureano has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Jon Gray, which is 3.3% higher than Laureano's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Gray.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.3%	27.7%	3.5%	6.2%	18.1%	4.5%	22.6%
Laureano	+3.3	+5.4	0.0	+0.6	+4.8	-2.1	-8.1
Gray	-0.8	+1.3	+0.4	+0.4	+0.5	-2.1	+5.6

Ramon Laureano is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jon Gray is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Laureano has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Jon Gray throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Ramon Laureano has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

47%

Slider (R)

38%

Changeup (R)

Curve (R)

11% of Jon Gray's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Ramon Laureano has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+3%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 12%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 6%

Chaser 6%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

41% of Jon Gray's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Ramon Laureano has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 41%

+17%

Large Break 35%

+14%

Breaking (R) 44%

+14%

Medium Slow Velo 25%

+12%

18.3% of Ramon Laureano's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. Jon Gray strikes out 17.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +6.3% +3.8% 5%

Walk -1.7% -1.2% 41%

In Play -4.6% -2.6% 39%

On Base -3.9% -0.6% 31%

Hit -2.2% +0.6% 14%

Single -1.8% +0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -1.8% +0.4% 3%

Home Run +1.4% -0.6%

33.7% of Ramon Laureano's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Jon Gray induces Standard Grounders at a 34.7% rate, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -0.7% +0.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.1% +0.0% 14%

Low Screamer +0.3% -0.3% 9%

Rising Liner -1.6% +0.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.7% -1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +1.1% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.8% +1.0% 3%

Pop up -0.3% +0.4%

25.4% of Ramon Laureano's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 26.7% of batted balls allowed by Jon Gray are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.8% -0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.1% -2.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.8% +0.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.1% +0.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.1% +2.4%

11.4% of Ramon Laureano's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.0% lower than the league average. 9.6% of batted balls allowed by Jon Gray are hit at this angle, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +1.3% +1.0% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.6% -1.5% 8%

1 to 6° +0.0% +0.4% 18%

7 to 18° -0.8% +1.4% 15%

19 to 28° +2.9% +0.4% 11%

29 to 38° 0.0% -1.9% 7%

39 to 50° +0.1% +0.8% 8%

Above 50° -0.9% -0.6%

Ramon Laureano has 11 plate appearances against Jon Gray in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 10 with a double and a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	11	10	3	0	1	2	2	1	0.300
Expected From Contact →			1.54	0.00	0.49	1.06			0.154

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-15	Single			19%	81%
2023-09-15	Hit By Pitch
2023-05-13	Strikeout
2023-05-13	Double		46%	9%	45%
2023-05-13	Flyout				100%
2022-07-13	Flyout				99%
2022-07-13	Strikeout
2022-07-13	Flyout		2%		98%
2022-05-27	Walk
2022-05-27	Single			62%	38%
2022-05-27	Forceout			15%	85%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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