Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Paul DeJong

matchup for Seth Lugo

123rd out of 436 (Best 29%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for Paul DeJong

164th out of 567 (Best 30%)

Leans in favor of Lugo

Paul DeJong has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 1.7% higher than DeJong's typical expectations, and 3.3% lower than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.1%	23.1%	4.9%	5.2%	13.0%	6.0%	38.5%
DeJong	+1.7	+2.2	+1.3	+0.1	+0.8	-0.5	+1.7
Lugo	-3.3	-0.8	+1.8	+0.3	-2.9	-2.5	+13.6

Paul DeJong is better vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. DeJong has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Paul DeJong has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Paul DeJong has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Paul DeJong has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

20.0% of Paul DeJong's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.1% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

10%

Strikeout +9.1% +0.8% 5%

Walk -2.8% -2.3% 42%

In Play -6.3% +1.4% 39%

On Base -7.5% -0.4% 31%

Hit -4.8% +1.9% 14%

Single -3.3% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -2.9% +1.1% 3%

Home Run +1.4% +0.1%

26.6% of Paul DeJong's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.8% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.7% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -7.8% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.1% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer +3.1% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.5% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +1.2% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% -0.1% 3%

Pop up +1.6% -2.2%

23.6% of Paul DeJong's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.6% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.4% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.8% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.5% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.7% -1.6%

13.6% of Paul DeJong's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%