matchup for Lance Lynn
2
Paul DeJong has a 29.4% chance of reaching base vs Lance Lynn, which is 2.7% higher than DeJong's typical expectations, and 3.7% lower than batters facing Lynn.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 29.4% | 24.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 13.6% | 5.2% | 32.6% |
| DeJong | +2.7 | +3.5 | +0.8 | +1.0 | +1.8 | -0.8 | -4.3 |
| Lynn | -3.7 | 0.0 | +1.3 | +0.3 | -1.6 | -3.6 | +12.9 |
Paul DeJong is better vs right-handed pitching. Lance Lynn is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. DeJong has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Lance Lynn throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Paul DeJong has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
44%
Cutter (R)
25%
Sinker (R)
16%
Curve (R)
5%
Changeup (R)
5%
7% of Lance Lynn's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Paul DeJong has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Meatball
7%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Chaser
7%
+0%
Likely Ball
20%
+0%
Mid Challenge
11%
+0%
Strong Challenge
5%
0%
Non-Competitive
13%
0%
Fringe Miss
12%
0%
Weak Challenge
7%
-1%
85% of Lance Lynn's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Paul DeJong has a B- grade against this type of pitch from right handers.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Fastball (R)
85%
+32%
Medium Fast Velo
30%
+15%
Low Ride
36%
+12%
Small Break
19%
+10%
20.1% of Paul DeJong's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.2% higher than the league average. Lance Lynn strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
10%
Strikeout
+9.2%
+1.3%
5%
Walk
-2.8%
-1.7%
42%
In Play
-6.5%
+0.3%
39%
On Base
-7.5%
-2.3%
31%
Hit
-4.7%
-0.6%
14%
Single
-3.2%
-0.1%
13%
2B / 3B
-2.8%
-0.1%
3%
Home Run
+1.3%
-0.4%
26.7% of Paul DeJong's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.8% lower than the league average. Lance Lynn induces Standard Grounders at a 32.1% rate, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.7%
-0.3%
34%
Standard Grounder
-7.8%
-2.3%
7%
Hard Grounder
-2.1%
-1.8%
14%
Low Screamer
+3.2%
+2.3%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.1%
-0.5%
4%
Maybe Homer
+2.4%
-0.3%
3%
Likely Homer
+1.2%
+0.8%
1%
No Doubter
+0.4%
-0.2%
20%
Routine Flyout
+0.3%
+0.6%
3%
Pop up
+1.6%
+1.6%
23.6% of Paul DeJong's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. 23.9% of batted balls allowed by Lance Lynn are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+1.6%
+0.4%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+2.6%
+1.7%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-2.9%
-0.6%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-0.5%
-1.2%
24%
Above 100 mph
-0.7%
-0.4%
13.6% of Paul DeJong's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Lance Lynn are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-3.3%
-2.1%
12%
-10 to 0°
-5.2%
-0.4%
8%
1 to 6°
-1.2%
-2.7%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.2%
+1.7%
15%
19 to 28°
+0.8%
+0.5%
11%
29 to 38°
+2.1%
-0.6%
7%
39 to 50°
+4.3%
+1.2%
8%
Above 50°
+2.7%
+2.3%
Paul DeJong has 2 plate appearances against Lance Lynn in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.065 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-05-04 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-05-04 | Fielders Choice Out | 13% | 87% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
