Matchup Machine

Eddy Alvarez

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matchup for Corbin Burnes

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Corbin Burnes

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matchup for Eddy Alvarez

442nd out of 567 (Worst 22%)

Strong advantage for Burnes
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Model Prediction

Eddy Alvarez has a 24.1% chance of reaching base vs Corbin Burnes, which is 2.7% lower than Alvarez's typical expectations, and 5.7% lower than batters facing Burnes.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.1%18.2%1.9%3.4%12.9%5.9%28.7%
Alvarez-2.7-0.8-0.6-0.6+0.3-1.9-2.1
Burnes-5.7-3.7-0.5-1.0-2.2-2.0+5.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Eddy Alvarez hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Corbin Burnes is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Alvarez doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Corbin Burnes throws a Cutter 52% of the time. Eddy Alvarez hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
52%
   Curve (R)
19%
   Slider (R)
10%
   Changeup (R)
10%
   Sinker (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

26.6% of Eddy Alvarez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.0% higher than the league average. Corbin Burnes strikes out 17.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout +7.0% +3.2% 7%         Walk -3.1% -1.6% 57%         In Play -3.9% -1.6% 39%         On Base -8.3% -3.4% 31%         Hit -5.2% -1.8% 14%         Single -2.2% -0.7% 13%         2B / 3B -1.7% -0.2% 3%         Home Run -1.3% -0.8%

History

No History in the last 3 years