Matchup Machine

Eddy Alvarez

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matchup for N. Cortes Jr.

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Nestor Cortes Jr.

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matchup for Eddy Alvarez

232nd out of 567 (Best 42%)

Moderate advantage for Cortes Jr.
5

Model Prediction

Eddy Alvarez has a 26.6% chance of reaching base vs Nestor Cortes Jr., which is 0.2% higher than Alvarez's typical expectations, and 4.9% lower than batters facing Cortes Jr..

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.6%18.6%3.3%4.6%10.8%8.0%30.2%
Alvarez-0.2-0.4+0.9+0.6-1.9+0.2-0.7
Cortes Jr.-4.9-3.2-0.1-0.8-2.3-1.7+6.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Eddy Alvarez hasn't faced much left-handed pitching. Nestor Cortes Jr. is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Alvarez doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Nestor Cortes Jr. throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Eddy Alvarez hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
45%
   Cutter (L)
24%
   Slider (L)
20%
   Changeup (L)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

26.6% of Eddy Alvarez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.0% higher than the league average. Nestor Cortes Jr. strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout +7.0% -0.1% 7%         Walk -3.1% -0.6% 57%         In Play -3.9% +0.6% 39%         On Base -8.3% -2.1% 31%         Hit -5.2% -1.6% 14%         Single -2.2% -1.7% 13%         2B / 3B -1.7% -1.3% 3%         Home Run -1.3% +1.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years