Matchup Machine

Connor Wong

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matchup for Reese Olson

244th out of 436 (Worst 44%)

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Reese Olson

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matchup for Connor Wong

270th out of 567 (Best 48%)

Leans in favor of Wong
1

Model Prediction

Connor Wong has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Reese Olson, which is 0.5% higher than Wong's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Olson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.4%24.6%2.3%5.4%17.0%5.8%23.6%
Wong+0.5+1.5-0.3+0.1+1.7-1.0-2.0
Olson-0.7+2.3+0.0+0.5+1.8-3.1-0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Connor Wong is better vs right-handed pitching. Reese Olson is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Wong has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Reese Olson throws a Slider 29% of the time. Connor Wong has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
29%
   4-Seam (R)
27%
   Sinker (R)
19%
   Changeup (R)
19%
   Curve (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

15.5% of Connor Wong's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.5% higher than the league average. Reese Olson strikes out 14.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.5% -0.3% 5%         Walk -2.3% -2.0% 39%         In Play +0.8% +2.3% 39%         On Base -0.3% -0.5% 31%         Hit +1.9% +1.5% 14%         Single +0.7% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +0.9% +1.1% 3%         Home Run +0.3% -0.5%

History

Connor Wong has 1 plate appearance against Reese Olson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.610.000.030.580.611
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-01Groundout3%58%39%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.