Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Connor Wong

matchup for Ryne Nelson

152nd out of 436 (Best 36%)

Ryne Nelson

matchup for Connor Wong

403rd out of 567 (Worst 29%)

Moderate advantage for Nelson

Connor Wong has a 28.5% chance of reaching base vs Ryne Nelson, which is 1.3% lower than Wong's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Nelson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.5%	24.0%	2.5%	4.8%	16.6%	4.5%	29.3%
Wong	-1.3	+0.9	0.0	-0.5	+1.4	-2.2	+3.7
Nelson	-1.5	+0.6	-0.2	-0.1	+0.8	-2.1	+3.1

Connor Wong is better vs right-handed pitching. Ryne Nelson is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Wong has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Ryne Nelson throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Connor Wong has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Cutter (R)

15%

Slider (R)

11%

Changeup (R)

11%

Curve (R)

15% of Ryne Nelson's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Connor Wong has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

29% of Ryne Nelson's pitches are classified as High Ride, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Connor Wong has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

High Ride 29%

+19%

Fastball (R) 72%

+18%

Small Break 25%

+16%

Fast Velo 29%

+14%

15.5% of Connor Wong's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.5% higher than the league average. Ryne Nelson strikes out 13.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.5% -2.9% 5%

Walk -2.3% -2.2% 39%

In Play +0.8% +5.1% 39%

On Base -0.3% +0.3% 31%

Hit +1.9% +2.5% 14%

Single +0.7% +1.0% 13%

2B / 3B +0.9% +1.5% 3%

Home Run +0.3% +0.1%

35.7% of Connor Wong's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.3% higher than the league average. Ryne Nelson induces Standard Grounders at a 35.6% rate, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.0% -0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.3% +1.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.1% -2.5% 14%

Low Screamer -2.8% +1.0% 9%

Rising Liner -2.2% +2.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.8% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter -0.8% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.5% +0.8% 3%

Pop up +3.2% -0.5%

21.5% of Connor Wong's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. 29.1% of batted balls allowed by Ryne Nelson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.9% -1.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.0% -2.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.8% +0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.3% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.8% +4.8%

11.5% of Connor Wong's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. 10.5% of batted balls allowed by Ryne Nelson are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%