Matchup Machine

Connor Wong

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matchup for Tyler Duffey

101st out of 436 (Best 24%)

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Tyler Duffey

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matchup for Connor Wong

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Wong
1

Model Prediction

Connor Wong has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Duffey, which is 0.8% higher than Wong's typical expectations, and 3.4% lower than batters facing Duffey.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.7%23.3%2.5%5.5%15.3%7.4%26.4%
Wong+0.8+0.20.0+0.2+0.1+0.6+0.8
Duffey-3.4+0.7-0.1+0.2+0.6-4.1+1.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Connor Wong is better vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Duffey is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Wong has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Duffey throws a Kn-Curve 42% of the time. Connor Wong hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
42%
   4-Seam (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

15.5% of Connor Wong's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.5% higher than the league average. Tyler Duffey strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.5% +3.7% 5%         Walk -2.3% -2.4% 39%         In Play +0.8% -1.3% 39%         On Base -0.3% -5.5% 31%         Hit +1.9% -3.1% 14%         Single +0.7% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B +0.9% -1.3% 3%         Home Run +0.3% -0.5%

History

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