Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Connor Wong

matchup for Aaron Nola

157th out of 436 (Best 37%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Connor Wong

415th out of 567 (Worst 27%)

Moderate advantage for Nola

Connor Wong has a 28.1% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 1.8% lower than Wong's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.1%	23.1%	2.5%	6.3%	14.3%	4.9%	32.8%
Wong	-1.8	+0.1	0.0	+1.1	-1.0	-1.9	+7.2
Nola	-1.4	+0.8	-0.4	+0.1	+1.2	-2.2	+1.9

Connor Wong is better vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Wong has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Connor Wong hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Connor Wong has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Connor Wong hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

15.5% of Connor Wong's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.5% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.5% +6.3% 5%

Walk -2.3% -2.8% 39%

In Play +0.8% -3.5% 39%

On Base -0.3% -4.8% 31%

Hit +1.9% -2.0% 14%

Single +0.7% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +0.9% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +0.3% -0.5%

35.7% of Connor Wong's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.3% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.0% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.3% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.1% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -2.8% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -2.2% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.8% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.8% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.5% -0.4% 3%

Pop up +3.2% -0.7%

21.5% of Connor Wong's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.9% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.0% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.8% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.3% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.8% -0.7%

11.5% of Connor Wong's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%