Matchup Machine

Alex Verdugo

sometext

matchup for Garrett Crochet

359th out of 436 (Worst 18%)

sometext

Garrett Crochet

sometext

matchup for Alex Verdugo

542nd out of 567 (Worst 5%)

Moderate advantage for Crochet
3

Model Prediction

Alex Verdugo has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 4.2% lower than Verdugo's typical expectations, and 2.8% higher than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.2%22.9%1.6%5.5%15.8%7.3%26.8%
Verdugo-4.2-1.5-0.10.0-1.3-2.7+11.0
Crochet+2.8+2.0-0.8+0.5+2.3+0.8-8.5

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Alex Verdugo is worse vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Verdugo has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Alex Verdugo has a C- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

9.5% of Alex Verdugo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.5% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -8.5% +9.4% 4%         Walk 0.0% -1.3% 36%         In Play +8.6% -8.1% 39%         On Base +0.5% -3.9% 31%         Hit +0.6% -2.5% 14%         Single +0.6% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B +1.0% -1.1% 3%         Home Run -1.0% +0.1%

History

Alex Verdugo has 1 plate appearance against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 0 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual100000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-09-22Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.