Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Alex Verdugo

matchup for Jose Berrios

381st out of 436 (Worst 13%)

Jose Berrios

matchup for Alex Verdugo

231st out of 567 (Best 42%)

Strong advantage for Verdugo

Alex Verdugo has a 34.8% chance of reaching base vs Jose Berrios, which is 0.4% higher than Verdugo's typical expectations, and 2.5% higher than batters facing Berrios.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.8%	27.2%	2.0%	5.6%	19.7%	7.6%	14.0%
Verdugo	+0.4	+2.8	+0.2	+0.0	+2.6	-2.4	-1.9
Berrios	+2.5	+2.5	-1.0	+0.4	+3.1	0.0	-8.2

Alex Verdugo is better vs right-handed pitching. Jose Berrios is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Verdugo has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Jose Berrios throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Alex Verdugo has a B+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

30%

Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

23%

Changeup (R)

16%

18% of Jose Berrios's pitches are classified as Edge Painters, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Alex Verdugo has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 11%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

31% of Jose Berrios's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Alex Verdugo has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 31%

+17%

Low Ride 39%

+15%

Very Slow Velo 26%

+12%

9.5% of Alex Verdugo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.5% lower than the league average. Jose Berrios strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -8.5% +0.7% 4%

Walk 0.0% -0.8% 36%

In Play +8.6% +0.1% 39%

On Base +0.5% -0.3% 31%

Hit +0.6% +0.6% 14%

Single +0.6% +0.1% 13%

2B / 3B +1.0% +0.4% 3%

Home Run -1.0% +0.2%

38.3% of Alex Verdugo's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Jose Berrios induces Standard Grounders at a 34.7% rate, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.2% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.9% +0.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.4% -0.7% 14%

Low Screamer +0.0% -0.4% 9%

Rising Liner +1.1% +1.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -2.0% +0.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.0% -1.5% 3%

Pop up -0.9% -0.1%

21.5% of Alex Verdugo's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. 26.4% of batted balls allowed by Jose Berrios are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.4% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.5% -1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.9% -0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.1% -1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.8% +2.1%

10.2% of Alex Verdugo's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.2% lower than the league average. 11.9% of batted balls allowed by Jose Berrios are hit at this angle, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +4.5% -1.0% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.0% +0.5% 8%

1 to 6° +0.8% -0.4% 18%

7 to 18° -0.9% +1.4% 15%

19 to 28° -1.4% 0.0% 11%

29 to 38° -1.2% +0.5% 7%

39 to 50° -1.6% -0.1% 8%

Above 50° -1.2% -0.8%

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	24	23	3	0	1	2	8	1	0.130
Expected From Contact →			3.91	0.19	1.38	2.34			0.170

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-03	Flyout			2%	97%
2024-08-03	Groundout		1%	38%	61%
2024-08-03	Flyout				99%
2024-06-27	Flyout				100%
2024-06-27	Walk
2024-06-27	Strikeout
2023-09-15	Strikeout
2023-09-15	Flyout				100%
2023-09-15	Strikeout
2023-06-30	Strikeout
2023-06-30	Strikeout
2023-06-30	Strikeout
2023-05-01	Double	1%	74%	8%	17%
2023-05-01	Groundout			14%	85%
2023-05-01	GIDP			9%	91%
2022-08-24	Flyout	6%	3%		91%
2022-08-24	Single		1%	81%	18%
2022-08-24	Strikeout
2022-04-25	Lineout	12%	31%	12%	45%
2022-04-25	Strikeout
2022-04-25	Flyout				99%
2022-04-20	Groundout			8%	92%
2022-04-20	Single		15%	61%	24%
2022-04-20	Lineout		9%		91%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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