matchup for Caleb Thielbar
matchup for Alex Verdugo
7
Alex Verdugo has a 36.0% chance of reaching base vs Caleb Thielbar, which is 1.5% higher than Verdugo's typical expectations, and 4.1% higher than batters facing Thielbar.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 36.0% | 24.5% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 17.6% | 11.5% | 17.3% |
| Verdugo | +1.5 | +0.1 | +0.2 | -0.6 | +0.5 | +1.4 | +1.5 |
| Thielbar | +4.1 | +2.7 | -1.3 | -0.2 | +4.2 | +1.4 | -10.7 |
Alex Verdugo is worse vs left-handed pitching. Caleb Thielbar is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Verdugo has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Caleb Thielbar throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Alex Verdugo has a C- grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
49%
Slider (L)
29%
Curve (L)
22%
16% of Caleb Thielbar's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Alex Verdugo has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
16%
+5%
Strong Challenge
9%
+4%
Likely Ball
20%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Edge Painter
17%
0%
Chaser
5%
-1%
Meatball
3%
-2%
Weak Challenge
6%
-3%
Non-Competitive
8%
-4%
50% of Caleb Thielbar's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Alex Verdugo has a B grade against this type of pitch from left handers.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Breaking (L)
50%
+21%
Small Break
29%
+21%
Slow Lob
22%
+18%
Extreme Drop
22%
+17%
9.5% of Alex Verdugo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.5% lower than the league average. Caleb Thielbar strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
18%
Strikeout
-8.5%
+5.2%
4%
Walk
0.0%
+1.9%
36%
In Play
+8.6%
-7.1%
39%
On Base
+0.5%
-6.1%
31%
Hit
+0.6%
-8.0%
14%
Single
+0.6%
-4.3%
13%
2B / 3B
+1.0%
-3.9%
3%
Home Run
-1.0%
+0.2%
38.3% of Alex Verdugo's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Caleb Thielbar induces Standard Grounders at a 31.6% rate, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.2%
-0.1%
34%
Standard Grounder
+3.9%
-2.8%
7%
Hard Grounder
+1.4%
-3.1%
14%
Low Screamer
+0.0%
-0.5%
9%
Rising Liner
+1.1%
-1.4%
4%
Maybe Homer
-0.9%
-0.7%
3%
Likely Homer
-2.0%
+0.9%
1%
No Doubter
-0.9%
+0.4%
20%
Routine Flyout
-2.0%
+2.4%
3%
Pop up
-0.9%
+5.0%
21.5% of Alex Verdugo's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. 23.3% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Thielbar are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-1.4%
+2.4%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+2.5%
+1.4%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+1.9%
+2.0%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-0.1%
-4.6%
24%
Above 100 mph
-2.8%
-1.0%
10.2% of Alex Verdugo's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.2% lower than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Thielbar are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+4.5%
-1.3%
12%
-10 to 0°
+1.0%
-4.6%
8%
1 to 6°
+0.8%
-1.7%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.9%
+2.3%
15%
19 to 28°
-1.4%
-2.3%
11%
29 to 38°
-1.2%
-0.8%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.6%
+1.3%
8%
Above 50°
-1.2%
+7.1%
Alex Verdugo has 4 plate appearances against Caleb Thielbar in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.52 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.50 | 0.130 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-06-04 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-04-18 | Groundout | 20% | 79% | ||
| 2022-08-30 | Forceout | 30% | 69% | ||
| 2022-04-17 | Pop Out | 100% | |||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
