Matchup Machine

Lane Thomas

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matchup for JP Sears

138th out of 436 (Best 32%)

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JP Sears

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matchup for Lane Thomas

326th out of 567 (Worst 43%)

Leans in favor of Thomas
2

Model Prediction

Lane Thomas has a 28.6% chance of reaching base vs JP Sears, which is 3.2% lower than Thomas's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Sears.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.6%20.6%3.3%5.7%11.6%8.0%20.2%
Thomas-3.2-0.4+0.8+0.5-1.7-2.8-4.9
Sears-1.2-2.0-0.3-0.3-1.4+0.8+1.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Lane Thomas is better vs left-handed pitching. JP Sears is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Thomas has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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JP Sears throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Lane Thomas has a B+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
43%
   Slider (L)
33%
   Changeup (L)
17%
   Sinker (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

15.9% of Lane Thomas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. JP Sears strikes out 14.1% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.2% -2.6% 4%         Walk +1.0% -1.1% 41%         In Play -3.1% +3.7% 39%         On Base +0.1% -2.6% 31%         Hit -0.9% -1.5% 14%         Single -0.9% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B -0.4% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +0.4% +1.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years