Matchup Machine

Lane Thomas

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

258th out of 436 (Worst 41%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Lane Thomas

343rd out of 567 (Worst 40%)

Leans in favor of Thomas
1

Model Prediction

Lane Thomas has a 32.4% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 0.6% higher than Thomas's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.4%18.3%2.2%4.6%11.5%14.0%24.8%
Thomas+0.6-2.7-0.3-0.6-1.8+3.3-0.2
Schmidt+0.4-1.3-0.2+0.5-1.6+1.7-0.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Lane Thomas is worse vs right-handed pitching. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Thomas has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Lane Thomas has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

15.9% of Lane Thomas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.2% +0.3% 4%         Walk +1.0% +1.6% 41%         In Play -3.1% -1.9% 39%         On Base +0.1% -0.3% 31%         Hit -0.9% -2.0% 14%         Single -0.9% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -0.4% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +0.4% 0.0%

History

Lane Thomas has 2 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.120.000.010.110.060
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-10-17Groundout1%6%92%
2024-10-17Groundout4%96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.