Matchup Machine

Lane Thomas

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matchup for Chad Green

277th out of 436 (Worst 37%)

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Chad Green

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matchup for Lane Thomas

430th out of 567 (Worst 24%)

Leans in favor of Green
2

Model Prediction

Lane Thomas has a 27.0% chance of reaching base vs Chad Green, which is 4.8% lower than Thomas's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Green.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.0%19.0%3.6%5.5%9.8%8.0%26.1%
Thomas-4.8-2.1+1.1+0.4-3.5-2.7+1.1
Green+0.2-1.2+0.3+0.5-2.0+1.4+1.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Lane Thomas is worse vs right-handed pitching. Chad Green is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Thomas has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chad Green throws a 4-seam fastball 72% of the time. Lane Thomas has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
72%
   Slider (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

15.9% of Lane Thomas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. Chad Green strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.2% +9.3% 4%         Walk +1.0% -3.9% 41%         In Play -3.1% -5.4% 39%         On Base +0.1% -8.6% 31%         Hit -0.9% -4.7% 14%         Single -0.9% -2.2% 13%         2B / 3B -0.4% -2.9% 3%         Home Run +0.4% +0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years