Matchup Machine

Lane Thomas

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matchup for Domingo German

301st out of 436 (Worst 31%)

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Domingo German

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matchup for Lane Thomas

94th out of 567 (Best 17%)

Strong advantage for Thomas
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Model Prediction

Lane Thomas has a 35.1% chance of reaching base vs Domingo German, which is 3.3% higher than Thomas's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing German.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.1%22.0%2.9%5.1%14.0%13.1%20.8%
Thomas+3.3+0.9+0.4-0.1+0.6+2.4-4.2
German+1.3-1.0-0.10.0-1.0+2.3-0.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Lane Thomas is worse vs right-handed pitching. Domingo German is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Thomas has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Domingo German throws a Curve 36% of the time. Lane Thomas has a D+ grade against right-handed Curves

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Curve (R)
36%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Changeup (R)
20%
   Sinker (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

15.9% of Lane Thomas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. Domingo German strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.2% +2.5% 4%         Walk +1.0% 0.0% 41%         In Play -3.1% -2.5% 39%         On Base +0.1% -3.0% 31%         Hit -0.9% -3.0% 14%         Single -0.9% -1.8% 13%         2B / 3B -0.4% -1.4% 3%         Home Run +0.4% +0.2%

History

Lane Thomas has 2 plate appearances against Domingo German in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001000.500
Expected From Contact →0.350.000.000.350.177
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-30Single35%65%
2024-08-30Forceout100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.