Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Lane Thomas

matchup for Miles Mikolas

292nd out of 436 (Worst 33%)

Miles Mikolas

matchup for Lane Thomas

78th out of 567 (Best 15%)

Strong advantage for Thomas

Lane Thomas has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Miles Mikolas, which is 1.6% higher than Thomas's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Mikolas.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.4%	28.9%	2.9%	7.0%	18.9%	4.5%	20.5%
Thomas	+1.6	+7.8	+0.4	+1.8	+5.6	-6.3	-4.6
Mikolas	+1.2	+0.8	-0.3	+0.4	+0.7	+0.4	-0.1

Lane Thomas is worse vs right-handed pitching. Miles Mikolas is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Thomas has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Miles Mikolas throws a 4-seam fastball 27% of the time. Lane Thomas has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

27%

Slider (R)

26%

Sinker (R)

23%

Curve (R)

18%

Changeup (R)

13% of Miles Mikolas's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Lane Thomas has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

28% of Miles Mikolas's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 13% higher than the MLB average. Lane Thomas has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Extreme Drop 18%

+13%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

15.9% of Lane Thomas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. Miles Mikolas strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.2% -3.3% 4%

Walk +1.0% -3.9% 41%

In Play -3.1% +7.2% 39%

On Base +0.1% -0.6% 31%

Hit -0.9% +3.3% 14%

Single -0.9% +1.5% 13%

2B / 3B -0.4% +1.8% 3%

Home Run +0.4% +0.0%

33.6% of Lane Thomas's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. Miles Mikolas induces Standard Grounders at a 38.7% rate, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.6% -0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -0.9% +4.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.0% +1.2% 14%

Low Screamer -0.8% -1.7% 9%

Rising Liner -1.2% +0.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer -0.6% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +0.6% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.1% -3.7% 3%

Pop up +2.9% -0.2%

25.3% of Lane Thomas's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.9% higher than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Miles Mikolas are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.8% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.5% +0.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.5% -1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% +0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.9% +1.1%

10.0% of Lane Thomas's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. 9.1% of batted balls allowed by Miles Mikolas are hit at this angle, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +1.2% +0.5% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.4% +1.8% 8%

1 to 6° -1.0% +1.4% 18%

7 to 18° -1.1% +1.9% 15%

19 to 28° -0.8% +0.4% 11%

29 to 38° -1.4% -2.3% 7%

39 to 50° -1.8% -1.5% 8%

Above 50° +4.5% -2.1%

Lane Thomas has 13 plate appearances against Miles Mikolas in the last 3 years. He is 5 for 13 with 2 doubles and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	13	13	5	0	2	3	1	0	0.385
Expected From Contact →			4.39	0.15	0.41	3.84			0.338

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-21	Single		31%	55%	15%
2024-09-21	Groundout			3%	96%
2024-07-28	Double		2%	44%	53%
2024-07-28	Double			53%	47%
2024-07-28	Lineout			36%	64%
2024-07-08	Single			91%	9%
2024-07-08	Groundout			31%	69%
2024-07-08	Flyout				99%
2023-07-14	Groundout			5%	95%
2023-06-21	Single			66%	34%
2023-06-21	Strikeout
2023-06-21	Flyout	15%	5%		80%
2023-06-21	Pop Out				100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe