Matchup Machine

Kyle Schwarber

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matchup for Sandy Alcantara

209th out of 436 (Best 49%)

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Sandy Alcantara

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matchup for Kyle Schwarber

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Schwarber
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Model Prediction

Kyle Schwarber has a 31.8% chance of reaching base vs Sandy Alcantara, which is 1.0% lower than Schwarber's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Alcantara.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.8%18.3%3.4%4.9%10.0%13.6%33.9%
Schwarber-1.0-1.3+0.1-0.4-0.9+0.3+3.1
Alcantara-0.4-3.6+1.0+0.1-4.7+3.3+7.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Kyle Schwarber is better vs right-handed pitching. Sandy Alcantara is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Schwarber has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Sandy Alcantara throws a Sinker 28% of the time. Kyle Schwarber has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
28%
   Changeup (R)
25%
   4-Seam (R)
23%
   Slider (R)
22%

Contact and Outcomes

17.0% of Kyle Schwarber's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.1% higher than the league average. Sandy Alcantara strikes out 17.6% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.1% +2.6% 2%         Walk +5.6% -0.7% 43%         In Play -9.7% -1.9% 39%         On Base +1.8% -4.1% 31%         Hit -3.7% -3.3% 14%         Single -4.1% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -3.9% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +4.2% -1.4%

History

Kyle Schwarber has 31 plate appearances against Sandy Alcantara in the last 3 years. He is 9 for 28 with 3 doubles and 3 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual31289036930.321
Expected From Contact →8.290.892.624.770.296
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-01Pop Out100%
2023-08-01Single12%59%29%
2023-08-01Walk
2023-07-07Single3%94%3%
2023-07-07Groundout27%73%
2023-07-07Strikeout
2023-04-10Single87%12%
2023-04-10Strikeout
2023-04-10Walk
2022-09-13Pop Out100%
2022-09-13Flyout5%94%
2022-09-13Walk
2022-09-13Lineout38%21%41%
2022-09-08Flyout1%5%94%
2022-09-08Field Error
2022-09-08Strikeout
2022-08-10Double83%4%12%
2022-08-10Single14%67%19%
2022-08-10Single7%93%
2022-08-10Pop Out100%
2022-07-15Strikeout
2022-07-15Strikeout
2022-07-15Strikeout
2022-07-15Strikeout
2022-06-13Single7%86%7%
2022-06-13Strikeout
2022-06-13Double44%52%2%2%
2022-06-13Groundout6%93%
2022-04-14Double43%45%2%10%
2022-04-14Strikeout
2022-04-14Groundout10%89%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.