Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Kyle Schwarber

matchup for Joe Mantiply

292nd out of 436 (Worst 33%)

Joe Mantiply

matchup for Kyle Schwarber

406th out of 567 (Worst 29%)

Leans in favor of Mantiply

Kyle Schwarber has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Joe Mantiply, which is 3.8% lower than Schwarber's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Mantiply.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.1%	21.4%	3.0%	5.7%	12.8%	7.6%	28.3%
Schwarber	-3.8	+1.9	-0.3	+0.4	+1.8	-5.7	-2.5
Mantiply	+0.9	-1.6	+0.9	+0.3	-2.7	+2.5	+5.3

Kyle Schwarber is worse vs left-handed pitching. Joe Mantiply is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Schwarber has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Joe Mantiply throws a Sinker 42% of the time. Kyle Schwarber has an A grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

42%

Curve (L)

29%

Changeup (L)

24%

14% of Joe Mantiply's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Kyle Schwarber has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 14%

+5%

Chaser 9%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 12%

Strong Challenge 5%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

61% of Joe Mantiply's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 45% higher than the MLB average. Kyle Schwarber has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 61%

+45%

Medium Drop 38%

+26%

Very Slow Velo 38%

+22%

Offspeed (L) 24%

+11%

17.0% of Kyle Schwarber's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.1% higher than the league average. Joe Mantiply strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.1% +1.1% 2%

Walk +5.6% -3.1% 43%

In Play -9.7% +2.0% 39%

On Base +1.8% -2.8% 31%

Hit -3.7% +0.3% 14%

Single -4.1% +0.2% 13%

2B / 3B -3.9% +0.2% 3%

Home Run +4.2% -0.1%

28.7% of Kyle Schwarber's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.7% lower than the league average. Joe Mantiply induces Standard Grounders at a 44.0% rate, which is 9.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +3.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.7% +9.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.0% +0.2% 14%

Low Screamer -5.6% -4.8% 9%

Rising Liner +1.3% -1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +3.9% -0.8% 1%

No Doubter +2.3% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% -4.7% 3%

Pop up +1.9% -1.4%

38.4% of Kyle Schwarber's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 14.1% higher than the league average. 21.6% of batted balls allowed by Joe Mantiply are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -4.6% +5.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -5.9% -1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.0% -3.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.7% +2.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +14.1% -2.7%

13.4% of Kyle Schwarber's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. 9.5% of batted balls allowed by Joe Mantiply are hit at this angle, which is 2.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -1.1% +7.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.1% +3.7% 8%

1 to 6° -0.4% +1.1% 18%

7 to 18° -0.4% -1.6% 15%

19 to 28° -1.2% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° +1.9% -2.0% 7%

39 to 50° +0.5% -2.1% 8%

Above 50° +2.7% -4.5%

Kyle Schwarber has 9 plate appearances against Joe Mantiply in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 7 with a double and 2 walks

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	9	7	3	0	1	2	3	2	0.429
Expected From Contact →			2.81	0.00	0.87	1.93			0.401

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-10	Strikeout
2024-06-23	Forceout			3%	97%
2024-06-21	Walk
2023-10-24	Double		77%	17%	6%
2023-10-20	Strikeout
2023-10-17	Walk
2023-06-13	Single			90%	9%
2022-08-31	Single		9%	83%	8%
2022-06-12	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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