Matchup Machine

Kyle Schwarber

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

179th out of 436 (Best 42%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Kyle Schwarber

263rd out of 567 (Best 47%)

Moderate advantage for Schwarber
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Model Prediction

Kyle Schwarber has a 34.9% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 2.1% higher than Schwarber's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.9%17.9%2.9%4.2%10.8%17.0%28.2%
Schwarber+2.1-1.6-0.4-1.1-0.1+3.7-2.6
Anderson+1.2-4.4+0.0-1.0-3.3+5.5+6.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Kyle Schwarber is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Schwarber has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Kyle Schwarber has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

17.0% of Kyle Schwarber's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.1% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.1% -1.9% 2%         Walk +5.6% -1.0% 43%         In Play -9.7% +2.9% 39%         On Base +1.8% -0.1% 31%         Hit -3.7% +0.9% 14%         Single -4.1% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -3.9% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +4.2% -0.2%

History

Kyle Schwarber has 9 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 8 with 2 home runs, a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual983201110.375
Expected From Contact →3.892.260.551.080.486
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-30Strikeout
2024-04-30Home Run100%
2024-04-30Groundout12%88%
2023-08-29Home Run99%
2023-08-29Groundout14%86%
2023-08-29Walk
2022-05-12Flyout26%5%68%
2022-05-12Sac Fly49%20%31%
2022-05-12Single62%38%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.